Motorcycle in the West Java Province, Indonesia: Its Growth and Characteristics

Authors

  • Joewono, T.B. Graduate Program, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung
  • Lauw, B.Z. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung
  • Hendy, H. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung

:

https://doi.org/10.9744/ced.15.1.61-70

Keywords:

Characteristics, modeling, motorcycle ownership, motorcycle growth.

Abstract

Motorcycle provides several positive aspects in providing mobility, but its rapid increase in ownership and usage should be anticipated. The West Java Province has the highest number of population in Indonesia, which is potential to have the highest number of motorcycle. This study aims to develop a prediction model of motorcycle number and to develop a model of motorcycle ownership. Two models are proposed to predict the motorcycle growth in West Java, with gross regional domestic product and number of population as the independent variables. Four ordered probit models are proposed to explain motorcycle ownership in Bandung City based on economic, personal, user’s travel behavior, and motorcycle characteristics. This study explains that the increase of motorcycle ownership was not influenced by economic condition only, but also by travel behavior and their activity. Thus, besides economic aspects, the anticipation should also be based on travel and activity changes of the user.

References

Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia, Indonesia dalam Angka 1990-1999, Jakarta, 1990-2011.

Kaltheier, R.M., Urban Transport and Poverty in Developing Countries. Analysis and Options for Transport Policy and Planning, Division 44 Enviromental. Management, Water, Energy, Transport, The Deutsche Gesellschaft für Technische Zusammenarbeit GmbH. Eschborn, 2002.

Zukhruf, F., Frazila, R.B., and Wibowo, S.S., Kajian Efektivitas Jalur Sepeda Motor pada Jalan Perkotaan dengan Menggunakan Model Microsimulations, Prosiding Simposium ke-12 Forum Studi Transportasi antar Perguruan Tinggi (FSTPT), 2009, pp. 943-954.

Petragradia, R., Hendarto, S., Frazilla, R.B., and Wibowo, S.S., Karakteristik Kepemilikan Sepeda Motor Berdasarkan Karakteristik Rumah Tangga, Prosiding Simposium ke-12 Forum Studi Transportasi antar Perguruan Tinggi (FSTPT), 2009, pp. 1278-1297.

Pemerintah Kota Bandung, (Online), (http://www. bandung.go.id/, accessed 29 September 2010), 2010.

Sillaparcharn, P., Vehicle Ownership and Trip Generation Modeling a Case Study of Thailand, IATSS Research, 31 (2), 2007, pp. 17-26.

Sunggiardi, R. and Putranto, L.S., Discussion on Motorcycle Potential Problems in DKI Jakarta, Prosiding Simposium ke-12 Forum Studi Trans-portasi antar Perguruan Tinggi (FSTPT), 2009, pp. 789-799.

Waluyo, R., Tangkudung, E.S.W., and Tjahjono, T., Studi Mikroskopis Arus Lalulintas Campuran dengan Prosentase Volume Sepeda Motor Sangat Tinggi, Prosiding Simposium ke-12 Forum Studi Transportasi antar Perguruan Tinggi (FSTPT), 2009, pp. 1012-1023.

Potoglou, D. and Kanaroglou, P.S., Modeling Car Ownership in Urban Areas: A Case Study of Hamilton, Canada, (Online), Working Paper Series, (http://sciwebserver.science. mcmaster.ca/ cspa/papres/index.html, accessed 3 September 2010), 2006.

Dargay, J., Gately, D., and Sommer, M., Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030, (Online), (http://www.econ.nyu.edu/ dept/courses/gately/DGS_Vehicle%20 Ownership_ 2007.pdf, accessed 3 September 2010), 2007.

Deng, X., Private Car Ownership in China: How Important is the Effect of Income?, (Online) Centre of Regulation and Market Analysis, (http://www.ecosoc.org.au/files/file/TAS/ACE07/presentations (pdf)/Deng.pdf, accessed 3 September 2010), 2007.

Hai, P.K. and Susilo, Y.O., The Motorcycle Ownership Behavior in Hanoi City, Vietnam: How Unique They are Compare to Other Countries?, Proceeding of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 7, 2009.

Tuan, V.A. and Shimizu, T., Modeling of Household Motorcycle Ownership Behavior in Hanoi City, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 6, 2005, pp. 1751- 1765.

Zhang, J., Norton, R., Tang, K.C., Lo, S.K., Jiatong, Z., and Wenkui, G., Motorcycle Ownership and Injury in China, International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 11(3), 2004, pp. 159–163.[CrossRef]

Hsu, T.P., Sadullah, A.F.M., and Dao, N.X., A Comparison Study on Motorcycle Traffic Development in Some Asian Countries-Case of Taiwan, Malaysia, and Vietnam, (Online) (http://www.easts.info/activities/icra/2001/ICRAcomparisonStudyMotorcycleDevelopment.pdf, accessed 18 September 2010), 2003.

Hsu, T-P., Tsai, C-C., and Lin, Y-J., Comparative Analysis of Household Car and Motorcycle Ownership Characteristics, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 7, 2007, pp. 105-115.

Putranto, L.S., Montgomery, F., and Muller, S.G., Characteristics of Private Car and Motorcycle Ownership in Indonesia, Proceeding of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 6, 2007.

Kurniawan, M., Sepeda Motor, Sarana Trans-portasi Termurah, (Online), (http://megapolitan. kompas.com/read/2010/02/17/02433866/Sepeda.Motor. Sarana. Transportasi. Termurah, accessed 29 September 2010), 2010.

Ingram, G.K. and Liu, Z., Motorization and the Provision of Roads in Countries and Cities, Policy Research Working Paper, Brookings Institution Press, Washington, D.C., 1997.

Lubis, H.A.R.S., Motorcycle Growth and Its Impacts to Urban Transportation, Proceeding of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 7, 2009.

Leong, L.V. and Sadullah, A.F.M., A Study on the Motorcycle Ownership: A Case Study in Penang State, Malaysia, Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 7, 2007.

Senbil, M., Zhang, J., and Fujiwara, A., Motorcycle Ownership and Use in Jabotabek (Indonesia) Metropolitan Area, Discussion Paper Series Vol.2006-3, Graduate School of International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, 2006.

The World Bank, Sustainable Transport: Priorities for Policy Reform, Development in Practice, Washington, D.C., 1996, pp. 27-28.

Ingram, G.K. and Liu, Z., Determinants of Motorization and Road Provision, In Gomez-Ibáñes, J., Tye, W.B., and Winston, C. (Eds.), Essay in Transportation Economics and Policy, A Handbook in Honor of John R. Meyer, Brookings Institution Press, Washington, D.C., 1999.

Gentile, L., Understanding Motorcyclist and How They Ride, (Online), (http://www.suite101. com/ content/understanding-motorcyclists, accessed 27 September 2010), 2009.

Wedagama, D.M.P., Estimating the Influence of Accident-related Factors on Motorcycle Fatal Accidents using Logistic Regression (Case Study: Denpasar-Bali), Civil Engineering Dimension, 12(2), 2010, pp. 106-112.

Freudenheim, E., Motorcycle Accidents Can Cause Emotional, Mental Problems, (Online) (http:// www.suite101.com/content/motorcycle-accidents- can-cause emotional-mental-problems, accessed 27 September 2010), 2010.

Badan Pusat Statistika Propinsi Jawa Barat, Bandung Dalam Angka, Bandung, 2009.

Acharya, S.R., Modeling Dynamics of Car Ownership and Urban Density for Developing Cities, Proceeding of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, 7, 2009.

Lauw, B.Z., Permodelan Pertumbuhan Sepeda Motor di Provinsi Jawa Barat, Bachelor Thesis, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung, 2011.

Hendy, H., Karakteristik Kepemilikan dan Penggunaan Sepeda Motor di Kota Bandung, Bachelor Thesis, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung, 2011.

Kennedy, P., A Guide to Econometrics, Fifth Edition. The MIT Press. Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2003.

Greene, W.H., Econometric Analysis, Fifth Edi¬tion, Pearson Education, Inc., Delhi, 2003.

Norušis, M., Ordinal Regression, Chapter 4. SPSS 14.0 Advanced Statistical Procedures Companion. (Online) (http://www.norusis.com/ pdf/ASPC_v13.pdf_, accessed 3 July 2006) 2006.

Hair, J.F., Black, W.C., Babin, B.J., Anderson, R.E., and Tatham, R.L., Multivariate Data Analysis, Sixth Edition, Pearson Education, Inc., New Jersey, 2006.

Wedagama, D.M.P., The Analysis of Household Car and Motorcycle Ownerships using Poisson Regression (Case Study: Denpasar-Bali), Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 16(2), 2009, pp. 103-112.

Downloads

How to Cite

T.B., J., B.Z., L., & H., H. (2013). Motorcycle in the West Java Province, Indonesia: Its Growth and Characteristics. Civil Engineering Dimension, 15(1), 61-70. https://doi.org/10.9744/ced.15.1.61-70

Issue

Vol. 15 No. 1 (2013): MARCH 2013

Section

Articles

License

Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
  1. Authors retain the copyright and publishing right, and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
  2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
  3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) followingthe publication of the article, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).